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Welcome to Matt Ridley's Blog

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Matt Ridley is the author of provocative books on evolution, genetics and society. His books have sold over a million copies, been translated into thirty languages, and have won several awards.

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    Archive for date: March, 2014

  • Muting the alarm on climate change

    Published on: Monday, 31 March, 2014

    Even with exaggerated assumptions of sensitivity, the IPCC has to down-grade alarm

    The United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change will shortly publish the second part of its latest report, on the likely impact of climate change. Government representatives are meeting with scientists in Japan to sex up—sorry, rewrite—a summary of the scientists' accounts of storms, droughts and diseases to come. But the actual report, known as AR5-WGII, is less frightening than its predecessor seven years ago.

    The 2007 report was riddled with errors about Himalayan glaciers, the Amazon rain forest, African agriculture, water shortages and other matters, all of which erred in the direction of alarm. This led to a critical appraisal of the report-writing process from a council of national science academies, some of whose recommendations were simply ignored.

    Others, however, hit home. According to leaks, this time the full report is much more cautious and vague about worsening cyclones, changes in rainfall, climate-change refugees, and the overall cost of global warming.

    Read Full Post
    By: Matt Ridley | Tagged: rational-optimist, wall-street-journal
  • Technology creates jobs as much as it destroys them

    Published on: Sunday, 23 March, 2014

    It's a good thing we don't all have to dig the fields by hand

    My Times column is on technology and jobs:

    Bill Gates voiced a thought in a speech last week that is increasingly troubling America’s technical elite — that technology is about to make many, many people redundant. Advances in software, he said, will reduce demand for jobs, substituting robots for drivers, waiters or nurses.

    The last time that I was in Silicon Valley I found the tech-heads fretting about this in direct proportion to their optimism about technology. That is to say, the more excited they are that the “singularity” is near — the moment when computers become so clever at making themselves even cleverer that the process accelerates to infinity — the more worried they are that there will be mass unemployment as a result.

    Read Full Post
    By: Matt Ridley | Tagged: rational-optimist, the-times
  • The tyranny of experts

    Published on: Friday, 21 March, 2014

    William Easterly's new book explores the aid industry's autocratic instincts

    My book review for The Times of William Easterly's new book "The Tyranny of Experts"

     

    Imagine, writes the economist William Easterly, that in 2010 more than 20,000 farmers in rural Ohio had been forced from their land by soldiers, their cows slaughtered, their harvest torched and one of their sons killed — all to make way for a British forestry project, financed and promoted by the World Bank. Imagine that when the story broke, the World Bank promised an investigation that never happened.

    Read Full Post
    By: Matt Ridley | Tagged: rational-optimist, the-times
  • The good news you don't hear about diseases

    Published on: Friday, 14 March, 2014

    Malaria, TB and Aids are in steady retreat

    My Times column is on malaria, TB and Aids -- all in steady decline, a fact that officials and journalists seem reluctant to report:

    There’s a tendency among public officials and journalists, when they discuss disease, to dress good news up as bad. My favourite example was a BBC website headline from 2004 when mortality from the human form of mad-cow disease, which had been falling for two years, rose from 16 to 17 cases: “Figures show rise in vCJD deaths” wailed the headline. (The incidence fell to eight the next year and zero by 2012, unreported.) Talk about grasping at straws of pessimism.

    Read Full Post
    By: Matt Ridley | Tagged: rational-optimist, the-times
  • Smoking (and European regulation) kills

    Published on: Tuesday, 04 March, 2014

    E-cigarettes deserve encouragement as a lesser evil

    My Times column is on harm reduction, Swedish snus and e-cigarettes:

    Is this the end of smoking? Not if the bureaucrats can help it.

    Sweden’s reputation for solving policy problems, from education to banking, is all the rage. The Swedes are also ahead of the rest of Europe in tackling smoking. They have by far the fewest smokers per head of population of all EU countries. Lung cancer mortality in Swedish men over 35 is less than half the British rate.

    Read Full Post
    By: Matt Ridley | Tagged: rational-optimist, the-times
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